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2024-12-14 01:21:41

Personally, I judge that after adjustment, the main funds will still be a bull trap at the end of the year, and this rebound high point will probably appear on December 30 and 31. This is because the main funds will use holidays, cooperate through the disk, and some of them will be higher, mainly foreign capital, increase publicity and give off-site funds a tour, which is in line with my judgment. In the past two years, the main A-share companies have always borrowed weekends, holidays and other closed days. Look at the picture below:Today's A-shares fluctuated within a narrow range, and the main force took measures to stabilize the market and ease the anxiety caused by yesterday's high opening and low going. Even Hong Kong stocks, one of the three sisters, were too busy to take care of, and the market closed again, which drama will A-shares sing tomorrow? Let me talk about a few personal views.First, the three sisters of A shares are divided today, which is worrying.


We can't ignore the degree of connection between these three indexes. The short-term differentiation doesn't mean that we have to break the connection. If the main A-shares don't support the market today, A-shares will plummet, so that the main ones will not be able to ship for the New Year. This is not for retail investors, but for themselves.This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.It can be predicted that the A-share market outlook will be a downward trend. Judging from the current heat of speculation on these theme stocks, another one will be made, but the rising time and space will be far less than the first three. Look at the picture below:


A-shares: After the emotional recovery, the drama is about to start. What will be sung in the market on Thursday?Today, the trend of A-shares stands out as a stable word, and individual stocks generally rise, which may be the best situation. However, the A-share market can't always go up without going down. Today, the Hang Seng Index dives frequently, while the Hong Kong stocks at the end of the market continue to dive, while A-shares and A50 futures index rise in the opposite direction, with serious differentiation, indicating that the pressure on all parties is still relatively large.Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.

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